The Royals can get to Crawford and the Red Sox bullpen. Crawford has been inconsistent with an ERA of 3.81, and it is higher on the road. He’s giving up too many runs and walks, giving up five runs in each of his last three starts. The Royals are hitting right handed pitchers well so they will get to him. The Red Sox’ bullpen average has fallen as a team, and that will allow the Royals to get more runs as well. Boston is one of the top 5 in road offense and they can get to Ragans on the mound for a few runs to take this total over, as he has an ERA of 3.43 but has a higher ERA and WHIP at home. Boston has already seen Ragans this season so there won't be any surprises there. The total has gone Over in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston. The Over is 19-6-3 in their last 28 meetings in Kansas City and their two games in this series have gone well over the total. Boston has gone Over the total in nine of their last nine games. Both offenses are hitting right now and averaging between 6-7 runs per game in their last eight games, respectively, so expect a lot of runs in this game.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.