Atlanta has trended all season to the Under, especially at home where they are 34-17 to the Under. This game isn’t going to see a lot of runs with Holmes on the mound for Atlanta, he pitched a good five innings last time out and should be able to hold down the fort. The Braves have a good bullpen that will prevent further runs from this struggling Marlins offense. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Braves last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and the Under is 5-1 in the Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tyler hasn’t had many starts for the Marlins and the Braves might get some runs but not enough to take this game over as they haven’t really broken out big offensively in the last month. In fact, both teams haven’t played well offensively in the last month. The total has gone Under in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta and the Under is 14-3 in the Marlins last 17 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.