Stroman hasn't been his best lately, so expect the Jays to still get a few runs off of him. Gausman has been terrible against the Yankees and is 0-2 against them with an ERA well over 10 when he faces them. He got shelled both times versus New York so expect a lot of runs in this game. The total has gone Over in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road. Both offenses are hitting and the Jays terrible bullpen will add more runs to this game. The Over is 12-3-1 in Yankees last 16 versus a team with a losing record. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York and 6-0 to the over in their last six games. Expect runs early and often.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.