The Phillies are the better team right now with the better pitcher on the mound in Wheeler who has pitched really well at home. A solid arm and ERA for Philadelphia, Wheeler is going to be tough to hit and the Yankees haven’t been lighting it up in the last month. They are also on travel and played a late Sunday night game; and have used up a lot of their relievers over the weekend. Gil has pitched better in his last few starts but the Yankees may not back him up with run support on the road; they have lost two of his last three starts. All the edges side with the Phillies at home in this game, where they are 38-18 there. In Philadelphia, the Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings there. The Phillies are strong at home this season and are 48-18 in their last 66 games as a home favorite. The Yankees are 0-8 in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.

Best bet: take Philadelphia on the moneyline (ML).