The Royals have made it difficult for the White Sox to get any runs in this series, but the White Sox have also been struggling with their offense in the last month and are only averaging less than 3 runs in their last 10 games. They have Thorpe on the mound and he 2-1 with an ERA of 3.92, and he has been good for Chicago so the Royals might not get a lot of runs off of him in the first half, which is making this game a lean to the under. The total has gone Under in 6 of the White Sox's last 7 games. Lugo is on the mound, and he plays better at home, sporting an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP 1.08. He should be tough to hit for the White Sox. The Under is 6-1-1 in the White Sox last 8 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The total has gone Under in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home. The Royals are only averaging under 5 runs in the last two weeks so this game should stay under the total. Head to head, the Under is 38-15-1 in the last 54 meetings.

Best bet: take Kansas City on the runline (RL)