This series matters to both as Houston struck first with a low scoring win yesterday. Seattle is struggling with their pitching and it doesn’t matter how good their pitchers are if they cannot score runs. They struggle to bat runners home on base, in homeruns and they strike out at almost a 30 percent rate, which is one of the highest rates in the league. All their offensive metrics are bottom third of the league. They will struggle to get hits off of Valdez who has pitched very well in the month of July and is coming off a great last start where he only gave up one run and struck out ten batters. The Astros go up against Kirby who has been solid for the Mariners with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 0.90 so Houston is going to struggle to hit him. This game should hardly see any runs so taking under the total has a lot of value. These two have gone under the total in five of their last five games played in Seattle. Seattle has gone Under in 9 of their last 12 games against an opponent in the American League West Division division.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.