This game is going to be lower scoring, especially if Collier does not play for Minnesota. These two teams have already played twice and the first game back in May when everyone was healthy on both sides, that was a higher scoring game that totaled 171 points, played in Atlanta. The second game was played in Minnesota where they usually lock down on defense and that game totaled 123 points. This game won’t be that low, however, even if Collier plays and Rhyne Howard is back for the Dream, it does not mean there will be more points. Collier most likely will rest, and Howard may not be utilized for the full game in this one, and there is no guarantee she will jump off the bench and have her best scoring game. The fact that this game is being played in Minnesota, who are off two ugly losses to the Fever and Seattle, will want to make sure they win this game and win it with defense as opposed to offense. The Lynx are 5-0 to the Under in games following a straight up loss. Since Collier’s been out, both games for Minnesota saw them only put up 74 and 63 points, not great, and they haven’t scored over 70 in their last four games. They have shot less than 80 points in their last five of seven games, since their Commissioner Cup win, this team has struggled in general. In the last four games the Dream have played, all to good teams, and most with good defense, they only put up 67, 69, 70, and 67. The Dream are last in the league in scoring, and last in field goal percentage shooting so they continue to struggle on offense. That has been a big problem for them. It will be hard to see them putting up more points than that in a game against the Lynx who have one of the top defenses in the league and number one in field goal defense, only allowing opponents less than 74.9 points per game. Minnesota being in a bounce back spot, won’t take the game lightly, despite this being the last game before a long break. This will be one of the few games in the last two days that will go under the total. Yesterday’s games all went over the total, but this one should not. The Under is 4-1 in the Dream’s last 5 road games. The Lynx are 5-0 to the Under in their last five home games and 7-0 to the Under in their last seven games overall. Both teams play at a much slower pace, 9th and 11th, so it will be hard to get a lot of shots in this game especially with an early start where there will be a lot of sluggish and sloppy play and missed shots, at least in the first half.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.