The Storm are a really good defensive team that just had the longest stay at home in the league this season. Now they are going on the road in a stand alone game before the break. This is a play more so against the Storm in this spot showing up with a tough defensive game plan. The Sparks are a young, well rested team at home in this spot, and will play with no pressure offensively. The Sparks are scoring a little more consistently but the Sparks haven’t played any good defense either this season, so there should be a lot more points scored in this game by Seattle. The Sparks are playing at a faster pace and they are getting to the free throw line more often. Dearica Hamby is scoring 20 plus points and she is good down low, which all will help to push the total higher. The Storm can’t be relied on in a last game before the break to play a tough defensive game for a full 40 minutes, so that will allow the Sparks to get their shots in. Likewise for the Storm, they should get past the weaker Sparks defense that is allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep in the last month, and they could run up the score in this spot. Nneka Ogwumike is also back for the Storm and she is capable of putting up double digit points against Los Angeles. These two teams have already played twice and scored a combined 173 points and 163 points. This total may be a tad too low in this matchup that should not see too much defense played. Head to head, these teams have played their last six of nine games to the Over. The Over is 5-1 in the Storm’s last 6 games versus a team with a losing straight up record.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.