This series is a rivalry and a battle between these two but Houston has the edge being at home with the better lineup and bullpen, despite not having the better pitcher in Eovaldi. Eovaldi has already seen the Astros this season and he gave up 5 earned runs, 2 walks and 2 homeruns in that game where the team lost 5-8 to the Astros. Houston should manage this game even with Arrighetti on the mound who doesn’t go deep. Their bullpen can step in and counter any early damage that might incur. Houston are 28-19 at home while the Rangers have a losing record on the road going 20-29 straight up. Texas are 1-5 in their last 6 games against Houston. The Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and they are 16-5 in their last 21 home games versus a right-handed starter. Head to head, the Rangers are 16-37 in the last 53 meetings in Houston. There is too much value with the underdog at home.

Best bet: take Houston on the moneyline (ML).