These two pitchers cannot be trusted in this game to keep runs off the scoreboard. Patrick Corbin has been terrible all season and rarely has a good winning start. He’s given up too many runs and homeruns this season and can’t be counted on in this road spot to play well. The Mets hot bats will get a lot of runs off of Corbin as the Mets bat .300 against him. The total has also gone Over in 7 of the Mets' last 7 games at home. The Mets put Severino on the mound and he started off well as a good pitcher this season but got rocked in his last two starts and is starting to show some regression in his numbers. The Nationals should be able to take advantage and get some runs from him as he struggles. The Nationals offense that had been silent in the last few series, came alive in game 1 of this series. These two teams get up for each other in this divisional rivalry, and the total has gone Over in 9 of Washington's last 12 games against an opponent in the National League. In fact, these two already have played 7 games this season against each other, and six of them have gone over the total. This game should be like yesterday’s game but with two struggling pitchers on the mound. The total has gone Over in 4 of Washington's last 5 games. There is value again in taking the over.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.