This series has gone over between these two as both offenses are hitting and this game will see a lot of runs again. The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego between the two. Nelson is on the mound for the Dbacks and the Padres have done well against him so they are going to hit him hard in this spot. The Over is 9-2 in Padres last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Diamondbacks have put up some runs in this series but Cease, with an ERA of 424 and a WHIP of 1.118, has been solid for the Padres. However, he has been known to give up a few here and there and will be susceptible to Arizona’s lineup. The Over is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks last 6 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Over is 13-3 in Diamondbacks last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Best bet: take the Over the Total