These two teams have gone over in six of their last eight games against each other. The total has gone Over in 9 of San Diego's last 9 games at home too. Waldron did not have a great start in his last game and struggled with control, giving up runs, walks and two home runs so the Diamondbacks will definitely get to him for some runs. Pfaadt, with an ERA of 4.28, has struggled on the road and the way the Padres offense has been cracking bats lately, they will get to him for some runs. Pfaadt has given up 12 runs, 5 walks and 4 homeruns in his last three road starts in June, and didn’t strike out any batters in his last road game. Both offenses are hitting right now and both pitchers are susceptible to giving it up today. The total has gone Over in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego. There is value in the Over the Total.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.