The Minnesota Lynx already beat the Liberty earlier this season in May at home 84-67. The Liberty didn’t shoot well in that game, shooting 38% from the field and 29% from the 3 point line, shooting 7 of 29 from the 3. Minnesota shot 48% from the field and made 14 of 28 three point shots in that game. The Lynx are a great covering team; they are 12-4 against the spread in the last 16 games while the Liberty are 7-11 against the spread in their last 18 games. The Lynx have one of the best defenses in the league and have held teams to under 71 points in their last five games. They handle the ball well, not allowing many offensive rebounds, and are the third best team in three point shooting and in corner 3 shooting. The Lynx average 84.3 points and the Liberty are averaging 91 points per game on average. Minnesota has the rest advantage with an extra day over the Liberty. The Lynx have held 12 out of 16 teams under their team totals this season when they played them. They also played Griner’s Mercury tough when she came back, beating Phoenix 73-60. Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread this season as an underdog and is 6-1 against the spread in its last 7 games on the road. The Liberty have struggled with opponents in the Western Conference as they are 1-6 against the spread this season. The Liberty don’t do well in neutral site games; they are 5-14 against the spread as a franchise. Head to head, the Lynx have won six of the last ten games versus the New York Liberty and they are 9-4-1 against the spread in the last 14 meetings between these two teams. This is a revenge game for the Liberty who can put up points in bunches as the number one offense. However, against good defensive teams like the Lynx who can check a lot of their offense, will make this neutral site game very close and competitive. Getting any points with the Lynx is where the value lies.

Best bet: take the points with Minnesota.