Nola has been solid and steady for the Phillies this season and he has an ERA of 3.64. Nola is 30-9 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Nola has an excellent winning record versus Detroit. Nola is 2-0 when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.052 and the team has won all four of his starts against the Tigers. They go up against Mize who has been inconsistent for the Tigers. He started the season so well and now he is 1-5 straight up with an ERA of 4.43. The Phillies offense is going to hit Mize hard and they are going to win this game comfortably. Detroit is 16-24 as the underdog this season while the Phillies are 34-9 straight up as a favorite of -150 or more. Detroit is 11-22 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia are 6-0 straight up in their last 6 games against Detroit. Philadelphia is 20-3 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.

Best bet: take Philadelphia on the runline (RL).