Skenes has been sensational for the Pirates and he gets the run support when he is on the mound. Skene should have a high strikeout count in this game and the Pirates have done well at home. They go up against Spiers who has been solid for the Reds and he will be able to limit some of the Pirates offense in this game. He is a reliever turned pitcher and hasn't gone deep in a game yet but he’s managed to limit runs and walks so far this season. This game should see less runs as both pitchers should be effective in limiting offense today and both are solid and reliable for their teams. The total has gone Under in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games and the total has gone Under in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games against Cincinnati. Now that they are back home and out of the Colorado elevation, the Pirates offense will cool down. Pittsburgh is 26-13 to the Under after 5 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.