Cleveland are so good on the road with a 22-15 record, and they have the better bullpen in this matchup. Allen hasn’t been consistent lately, but he should do enough to keep the Guardians in this game. Gausman has been good so far but he is much better on the road than at home. It may be asking too much for him to follow up his last start with two good games in a row. Gausman is 1-3 straight up this season as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Once he leaves the mound the Guardians will control this game and get the win, late if need be, with their skilled bullpen pulling it out in the end. The Jays don’t hit well against left handed pitchers either so they will struggle with offense today. Toronto are 2-4 straight up in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland. Cleveland presents more value to bettors with the plus money. Cleveland is 25-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Best bet: take Cleveland on the moneyline (ML).