Paddock has already faced this Yankees team and he lost his start against them. He’s now 0-2 versus the Yankees with an ERA of 8.10. Rodon won his start this season versus the Twins and he has a 7-3 record against them with an ERA of 4.54. This game should be a carbon copy of that game that saw the Yankees win 5-1. They have been solid against this Twins team and can cover the runline against Minnesota. The Yankees offense has been the best in the league so far and they aren’t going to turn off the power hitting in this one. The Twins are 5-10 straight up this season as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Paddock is 3-12 in his last 15 starts as a road underdog of +100 or higher. The Yankees are 14-5 straight up this season as a home favorite of -150 or more, 11-1 straight up versus AL Central opponents and 33-13 this season against right handed pitchers. Rodon, although he had a few shaky starts, is 7-1 straight up this season as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 7-1 straight up in night games. The Yankees are just too strong right now as the Twins fall the other way. Take the home team.

Best bet: take the NY Yankees on the runline (RL).