Seattle is strong at home and they play at a fast pace. They are the more rested team and have covered their last three games and have won four in a row. The Mercury play better at home and are more of a fade on the road. The Storm are more balanced on both sides of the ball than the Mercury who don’t play defense and there are concerns in that area. The Mercury are still without a few key players on defense due to injury so they will be outpowered in this one. Seattle will win this one comfortably. The Storm are 2nd in offensive rating and 2nd in defensive rating and this team is 4th in offensive rebounds. They have the size and are good off the glass and a well coached team. Seattle is 5-1 this season after playing a game as favorite. Seattle is 4-0 against the spread this season after scoring 80 points or more. The Mercury are 8-21-1 against the spread in their last 30 games following a straight up win.They are worse on the road in covering games as they are 10-23 against the spread in their last 33 road games. Phoenix is 2-14 against the spread as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Phoenix is 12-26 against the spread after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games. Head to head, the Mercury are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Storm. This is another bad road spot for the Mercury and the value lies with the rested home team to take advantage.

Best bet: lay the points with Seattle.