Bello is going to struggle in this game against the Orioles whose offense has woken up again. The Orioles should get to him today. Bello has started to give up more runs and walks in his May starts. On the flip side, Rodriguez has played well for Baltimore, especially in his last few starts, and he has already pitched against the Red Sox this season, only giving up two runs in that game as the team went on to win by a large margin. Baltimore should win this game by a few runs so there is value in taking them on the runline.

Best bet: take Baltimore on the runline (RL).