This is a must win for the Pacers and even if Haliburton does not play, look for Siakam to pick up the slack and have a monster game. The Pacers are 6-0 straight up at home in this year's playoffs and they will fight tooth and nail in this game. The bench and role players will all step up and they are going to give it their best shot. If there ever was a game they will go all in on, is this game at home. Boston shot really well in their last game and there should be some regression in their 3 point shooting. Boston hasn’t lost a road game this season in the playoffs and they are in danger of losing this game, especially if Haliburton plays. The Pacers also play their better defense at home and they are going to focus more on defense and possession of the ball, ball handling and getting better looks on their shots. The Celtics have been known to have one bad game in a series and this could be the game where they take their foot off the pedal. This game should be a closer tighter game as this is the Pacers season, all riding on this one. The Pacers have played without Haliburton many times, so if he doesn’t play or plays limited minutes, this team has made the adjustments in the past. Coach Carlisle is too experienced for this scenario and has planned accordingly. All the motivation and desperation will be with the Pacers today and that will come through in the score as Boston is due for a letdown. The line is more than generous and the value lies in taking the Pacers in this spot plus the points.

Best bet: take the points with the Pacers.