Kansas City has been strong at home and now they go on the road, but Seth Lugo has been really good with a low ERA of 1.79 and a 7-1 record to start. The Royals have broken out the offense in their last five games and should carry all that momentum into this game. Lugo is 4-0 this season on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. The Royals are 15-3 this season as a favorite of -110 or higher. The Rays are in a losing funk losing their last four games. They got swept by the Red Sox at home and this will be a bullpen game, but they are struggling with bullpen issues so they will be vulnerable to the Royals offense today. Tampa Bay is also struggling to find some offense recently. The Rays are 2-6 this season after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in their last 7 games at home. Look for the Royals to get a win today against the Rays.

Best bet: take Kansas City on the moneyline (ML).