The New York Liberty have trouble covering large spreads and they haven’t covered them so far this season except for one, and it could be a combination of just too many points and them taking their foot of the gas. The Liberty are allowing 80.6 points while Chicago is allowing 83.4 points. New York puts up 89.2 points and the Sky, 81.7. This game is going to be closer than the 15.5 point spread because the Liberty went 14-26-0 against the spread last season. They had trouble covering spreads, and when they have been favorites for four or more consecutive games, they have gone 0-2 against the spread this season, and 4-12 against the spread since 1997. After leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, New York is 5-14 against the spread. There is value in taking the points with Chicago in this spot.

Best bet: take the points with the Chicago Sky.