These two teams will bring their defense and both are capable of holding each other to less than 100 points per game. In the OKC/Dallas series, four out of the six games went under the total. In the regular season head to head, these two teams are 8-2 to the Under in their last ten games. Defense will prevail over offense in this series and this game 1 will be a gritty grinding battle as each team feels each other out. There will be a lot of empty runs and missed shots in the first half that will contribute to this total staying under. The pace is going to be much slower too, and a lot of the pick and roll plays that both use will run the clock down more, creating less possessions. Dallas is 12-4 to the Under after a win by 6 points or less this season. Minnesota is 31-15 to the Under in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 5-1 to the Under when playing with 3 or more days rest. Minnesota is 6-17-1 (O/U) to the Under with the rest disadvantage. Dallas is 10-4 to the Under when they have the rest advantage, so the Under is where the value lies.

Best bet: take the Under the Total (208)