The Royals have already seen Mize this season and should get this game back as they have the advantage at home and their offense is strong this season. After starting out so well in April, Mize has lost his last three starts in May and he is starting to show signs of regression and the Tiger’s will struggle to support him with any offense. On the flip side, Marsh has played really well for the Royals and the team has won 7 of his last 8 starts. The Tigers haven’t seen Marsh yet this season so the Royals will have that edge too. The Tigers will struggle to get any runs off of Marsh and the Royal’s bullpen. Kansas City is 15-5 this season at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. Kansas City is 6-0 straight up in their last 6 games at home.

Best bet: take Kansas City on the moneyline (ML).