Atlanta is off a double header and a rain out day in the last two days and even though they have the better bullpen, this is a tough travel spot for them and their bullpen has been depleted over the last two days. The Cubs have the better pitcher in Assad who is 4-0 this season, and the home edge in this one. The Cubs have already seen Morton the other week and won the game 7-1. He’s giving up too many earned runs, has control issues with the ball, and has a losing record over the years versus the Cubs. He’s 4-8 against them with an ERA of 5.38 and the team has only won seven out of his 19 starts versus the Cubs over the years. The Cubs are 4-2 straight up in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta. Assad is 11-3 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Take the home team to win today who are underdogs at home.

Best bet: take the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline (ML).