Cleveland has a great bullpen and they were able to take another game in this series against the Mets. With Carrasco on the mound, they should be able to support him with their bats as they get another win, even with an ERA over 5. Carrasco did play much better in his last two starts and should carry that form into this game. The Mets are struggling to generate any offense and have been in a bad losing funk. With Houser on the mound, 0-2 for the season with an ERA of 11.45, the Guardians should be able to get to him early and often. Cleveland is 6-0 straight up in their last 5 games at home.

Best bet: take Cleveland on the moneyline (ML).