This game should be another rock fight in this elimination game. The OKC have won on the road in this series, and they still are a good offensive team. They may be young, but they still have a lot of talent that can step up in this game. They have had trouble sinking their 3’s in this series, but they should be able to have a better shooting game. They will have to lay it all on the line as they know it’s “lose and go home”. Elimination games tend to be tense, defensive battles, but OKC will shake things up and get out in transition more and convert those points. They will keep turnovers to a very low minimum, and they will make sure they don’t get out rebounded in this game and step up their defense and offense. This team is still the best 3 point shooting team in the league. On the flip side, Luka played really well in his last game with a triple double, and he will experience some regression here in this spot. The Team as a whole should experience some regression as the Mavericks shot 52% from the field and 40% from the 3. OKC should have a much better game and improve on their scoring from the last game. OKC is 1-0 against the spread this season and 17-6 against the spread in the last three seasons after scoring 105 points or less in 3 straight games. Dallas is 4-9 against the spread this season off an upset win as an underdog. There is value in taking the points with the underdog as they stave off elimination.

Best bet: take OKC and the points.