New York is playing with borrowed time as they keep losing players to injury, while their bench depth is depleted. Anunoby is out for this game and Brunson got banged up in the last game. New York is 2-6 against the spread this season after 3 straight games where they allowed a shooting percentage of 47% or higher. Indiana is 9-2 against the spread in the last few seasons after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. The Pacers were able to get a win and now they have some confidence going into game 4. It’s only a matter of time before players like DiVincenzo and Hart get tired or injured as they play 48 minutes. They shot way above their season averages, 35 points for DiVincenzo and Hart getting 10 points and 18 rebounds. Look for some regression from these two as they won’t shoot as well in game 4. Nesmith’s coverage of Brunson was effective in keeping Brunson off his game as well, and he should be able to continue that coverage in this game. The Knicks have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more, 10 times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games. The Pacers have an against the spread record of 13-11-1 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season. This is a must win game for the Pacers who will come out strong in this game 4 at home, where they have been dominate all season. Look for big games again from Siakam and Haliburton.

Best bet: lay the points with the Pacers.