This game should see a big effort from the Pacers at home. The team should bounce back with a better scoring effort. Siakam did not play well in the last two games and he should go off now that they are back home and in a position to close out the series. Haliburton has played well but he is due for a really big game at home. This Pacers team had a chance to put away Milwaukee and they should be fully focused in this spot to set the pace and pour on the points. Turner and Hart should have better shooting games as they did not have a good game. At home, the Pacers shoot much better and average 125 points there. Indiana should tighten up on defense and keep the Bucks scoring chances to a minimum in this one. It should be harder for Portis and Middleton to have the same high shooting game they had in the last one, and they will be hard pressed on the road to duplicate that shooting since they only shoot 35% from the field on the road on average as a team. The Bucks are also an aging team and on the road it might be asking for too much from the Bucks to defeat this young talented team that will have the home crowd cheering them on to a win in this game. The Pacers will set the fast pace and should get it done in this game and cover the spread as well.

Best bet: lay the points with Indiana.