All the games in this series have stayed under 6 goals, and the last three games were really low scoring defensive battles falling well under 5 goals. This game should follow as a goaltending duel with Swayman and Woll behind the net, backed up with defensive play from both sides so goals will be at a premium, especially in this elimination game. The total has gone under in 11 of Boston’s last 14 games. The total has gone under in six of their last 8 games for Boston against opponents in the Atlantic Division. The Leafs have played their last five of seven games to the Under. Toronto is 1-7 (O/U) to the Under in home games when trailing in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 0-3 to the Under this season when leading in a playoff series. Boston is 3-10 to the Under in the last three seasons off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival. Toronto is 0-4 to the Under when facing elimination in a playoff series.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.