Kawhi in the lineup in this game means they have their best defensive player on the floor. The games trend to the Under when he is playing. The Clippers have played their last five of six games to the Under when they go on the road to play Dallas. They have played their last five out of five games to the Under. Dallas have played their last six of six games to the Under, and at home they have played their last five of six games to the Under. The Clippers are 10-2 to the Under revenging a home loss versus an opponent this season. With the Mavericks placing Hardaway Jr, Prosper and now Doncic on the injuries list, this should affect some scoring on their side of the game. The pace in this game will be slower, despite the Mavericks performance in game 3 with Kawhi in the game. The third game did stay well under the total, and this game still has value in taking the Under. The Clippers are 3-17 (O/U) to the Under when playing Southwest Division opponents. The Clippers are 6-17 (O.U) to the Under when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. The Clippers are 1-5 (O/U) this season off a road loss of ten points or more. Dallas is 2-7 (O/U) to the Under in the last three seasons in the first round of the playoffs. Dallas is 8-19 (O/U) to the Under after allowing 95 points or less in the last three seasons and 0-5 to the Under this season. This will be another defensive battle that will keep the total under the total.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.