Boston won’t take the Heat lightly in this game as they will come out fast from the start. They will defend the 3 better as Miami shot a staggering 69 points from the 3, making 23 3’s and breaking a franchise record. Boston is still shooting the 3 at a better rate and they have the better field goal percentage all season. Boston does well in their next game after getting embarrassed and blown out in a game. Expect them to be upset and motivated to put their foot down on Miami’s neck and not let up as they tighten up on defense. The chances of Miami dropping all their 3’s like they did in game 2, likely won’t repeat in back to back games as the Heat should expect some regression. Boston is the better consistent 3 point shooting team and the Celtics have beaten the Heat by double digits all season too. Without Butler, this Miami team is not last year's playoff team. The Heat have the edge in coaching, while the Celtics have the better talent, but the anger the Celtics will bring into this game will override any momentum that Miami might have. Miami is still 1-9 against the spread as a home underdog this season. Boston should bounce back in this spot.

Best bet: lay the points with Boston.