This is a chance for the Brewers to tie the series with Pittsburgh. Peralta is on the mound and he is one of the best pitchers in the league right now, he has been striking out batters at a high rate and not giving up much. Peralta does well against the Pirates with a 2-1 record and the team. They face Keller on the mound who is 2-2 with an ERA of 4.80. He is terrible against the Brewers in his starts. He is 0-4 against Milwaukee and the team only won one game in his six starts against Milwaukee. In his last game this season, Keller gave up 4 earned runs, 4 walks and a homerun so it looks like there is some regression there with his control. Expect the Brewers to press today to get the win. This is a day game and the Brewers are 9-2 straight up in day games and the Brewers are 7-3 straight up when they are the favorite.

Best bet: take Milwaukee on the moneyline (ML)