The Pelicans average 115 points per game while the Kings average 116 points on offense. That’s a total of 231 points combined. On defense, the Kings give up 114 points while New Orleans gives up 110 points, and combined that is 224 points. These two teams averaged 237.2 points in their last five games head to head and played all five games over the 211 total in this matchup. Factoring in a more playoff defensive pace to this game, this total of 211 may be a bit too low as the score should fall anywhere between 211 and 237. The Kings are poor on defense and have trouble blocking shots so this will help the total go up. Even without Zion and the points he adds, the Pelicans have other players like Ingram and McCollum that can make up the difference. In fact, both offenses are ranked higher than most teams in the league, as far as points scored per 100 possessions which means more points. In their last head to head game, Zion did not play but the Pelicans still put up 129 points while the Kings scored 93. And combined that is 222 points. This game is going Over.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.