Carrasco has been a decent pitcher for the Guardians and he should be able to stem any offense that Boston might muster up in this game with their struggles recently. This should be a bullpen game for the Red Sox with Bernardino starting. He’s been good for Boston but the weather might play a factor for all pitchers in this game today. There may not be many runs on both sides if the winds kick up towards home plate keeping the ball in the park. Cleveland has played five out of seven games against Boston at Fenway to the Under. The Guardians have also played their last five out of seven games to the Under when they are an underdog. The Red Sox are struggling to put up consistent offense, and their bats may stay quiet in this game against Carrasco. Boston has played their last four of five home games to the Under. Carrasco has played all three games this season towards the Under. This run total just may be a tad too high in this matchup as the trends indicate a lower scoring game.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.