Texas looked good at times throughout the regular season but got into trouble when they didn't play defense. They also allowed teams to score on them at a 50% rate in those games. This game is tough to predict because one does not know which Texas team shows up. It won't matter to Colorado State who are rolling right now and are hot at the right time while they play a cold inconsistent team. The way the Rams defense shut down Virginia should scare Texas. The Rams have something to prove and they won't be phased by the Longhorns nor intimidated. They are shooting well and taking care of business on defense. This will be a tight game so take the points.

The Rams are 5-2 ATS in neutral court games. The Rams are 6-0 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. The Rams are 1-0 ATS when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament. Texas are 1-4 ATS in all neutral court games. Texas are 0-3 ATS this season in all tournament games. Texas are 8-13 ATS all time in the first round of the NCAA tournament.

Best bet: take the points with Colorado State.