Southern Illinois are at home in this matchup and are by far the better team on both sides of the ball. This game is such a mismatch take the home team who are 13-4-1 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS at home in their last eleven games. This should be a blowout game.

Valparaiso are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Southern Illinois. Valparaiso are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Southern Illinois. Valparaiso are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games on the road. Southern Illinois are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Southern Illinois are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games at home. Southern Illinois are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference. Valparaiso is 2-9 ATS revenging a loss where an opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Valparaiso is 4-14 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog since 1997.

Best bet: lay the points with Southern Illinois.