UCF is not good on the road, having lost their only two road games, and in this spot, will be facing a Longhorns team that will be angry off of a narrow loss on the road and in back to back spots. Now that Texas is at home, they will bring the hammer down in this game and win this game comfortably to get back on the winning side. They are just the better team on both sides of the ball despite both being 1-2 in conference play. Texas does have the better overall record though.

Central Florida are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games. Central Florida are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Texas are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference. UCF is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. UCF are 0-1 ATS this season and 0-4 ATS in the last three seasons as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. UCF are 1-7 ATS in the last three seasons after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread.

Best bet: lay the points with Texas.