Washington enters this game as the underdog but they played the tougher schedule this season when compared to Michigan's, which included playing Oregon twice, a team many believe is the best team in the nation and they beat them both times remaining undefeated for the season. Washington will be able to beat Michigan in the air and though some would say Michigan's defense is the best, Washington's has a bend don't break defense that showed up in games when the offense did not. They did their job. Michigan hasn't really played anyone with this kind of offense and they could fall behind in this game. Even when Michigan played Maryland, a team with better offense than defense, they allowed Maryland to get 24 points on them and won the game by just a touchdown. Maryland is an average team who air the ball out. Washington does it much better than Maryland with a much better defense, offense, and the better QB in this game. This game will be close and probably come down to a field goal so if the oddsmakers are giving more than that, then the value lies in taking Washington and the points.

Washington is 10-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 4-2 ATS this season when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Washington is 2-0 ATS this season as a neutral field underdog. Michigan is 0-1 ATS this season when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Michigan is 1-1 ATS this season after a bye week. Michigan is 1-5 ATS since 1992 s a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Washington are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. Washington are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing as the underdog. Michigan are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games against an opponent in the Pac-12 conference.

Best bet: grab any points with Washington.