Miami Ohio have struggled on the road this season, only winning one game so far. They are getting beaten on the road by anywhere from 10 to 20 points by teams that are evenly matched with them. Miami Ohio has an even worse record on the road against winning teams. The way they lost at home by almost 10 points to Western Michigan, a team who lost six games in a row and their last twenty games on the road, does not bode well for them in this matchup with the Rockets. It is hard to trust this team to go on the road and cover a spread against a better team on both sides of the ball and who are at home and do very well as 10 plus favorites. Miami Ohio collapsed in the second half of that game and it's hard to see how they will win and cover with terrible offensive numbers. They struggle at defending the rim in the paint and are one of the teams close to the bottom of the nation in that area. They won't get clean looks and not many shots against a Rockets team that are just doing everything better in field goal percentage, at 3 point shooting and in the paint. A team that can play defense too and get rebounds and create turnovers. This will be a tough game for Miami Ohio in this spot and the better team is the home team.

Toledo is 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Miami-Ohio are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Toledo. Miami-Ohio are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Toledo. Toledo is 14-5 ATS in January games over the last 3 seasons. Toledo is 21-9 ATS after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons. Miami Ohio are 4-13 ATS in the last three seasons in January games. MOH are 2-8 ATS in the last three seasons off a home loss against a conference rival. Toledo are 12-4 ATS in the last three seasons off a road win against a conference rival.

Best bet: lay the points with Toledo.