Everyone is ready to crown Baltimore as the best team in the league but there are other teams on any given day that can beat this team and one of those is Miami. They did it last year and stunned the Ravens at home with an entertaining 42-38 game, and they are on the road again in the same spot. What is different is they are catching the Ravens at the end of the season where Baltimore has crushed good teams and had their best emotional win against what some said was the best team in the league, namely, San Francisco. That game was more of QB Purdy not having a good game by handing 4 interceptions to the Ravens and more of a case that the Ravens didn't beat SF, that SF beat themselves.This should be a let down spot for them more so than a revenge spot. This is a last tough stretch for the Ravens and they face a Dolphins team that have speed and weapons. The Ravens have one of the best pass defenses in the league but that shouldn't matter as the Dolphins have played tough defenses this season against, NE, the Jets and Dallas to name a few and they proved last week that they can run the ball more than throw it to win a game. Only Waddle is out this week so Miami has most of their weapons today. Miami's defense has also looked better in these last five games and if Tua has a strong game with no interceptions or turnovers, than the Dolphins can win this game, or at worst, cover it because they are creative in their offense and they find ways to get points and have the same drive to want to win that the Ravens have. This game has major implications for both teams in their respective division races and for the number one seed in the AFC so take the underdog.

Miami are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Miami are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the AFC conference. Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Baltimore is 1-2 ATS this season and 1-5 ATS in the last three seasons off a double digit road win. The Ravens are 0-3 ATS this season and 0-6 ATS in the last three seasons after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The Ravens are 0-2 ATS in the last three seasons and 3-11 ATS since 1992 off 2 consecutive road wins. Miami is 1-0 ATS this season and 5-1 ATS in the last three seasons off 2 or more consecutive games that went unders. Miami is 4-2 ATS this season in road games.

Best bet: take the points with Miami.