Miami has been comfortable at home this season winning all their games at home as well and beating teams by double digits in those wins so getting double digits here is not an issue for Miami as they should cover this spread. Head to head, Miami is 7-3 SU against Las Vegas and is 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games. This is a road game for a rookie quarterback and a long trip, and the Raiders have not covered on the road, whereas the Dolphins have covered their last five home games, so lay the points with Miami.

Las Vegas are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Miami. Las Vegas are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against Miami. Las Vegas are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Miami are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Miami are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Miami are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the AFC conference. LV is 7-25 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog since 1992.

Best bets: lay the points with Miami.