Denver has been excellent at home so far this season and even hosting the past champs will not stop them in covering this spread. Golden State have shown that they are determined and playing well on the road this season as opposed to last season, however, Denver has been a juggernaut at home and can cover this small spread in elevation as they have won their last six games straight at home and have covered their last five games against Golden State. This will be an entertaining game, and probably a showcase of what the playoff games will look like, but Denver will pull the win out late.

Golden State is 9-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 19-9 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 3-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Golden State are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Denver. Golden State are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Denver. Denver are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games. Denver are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division. Denver are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Best bet: lay the points with Denver.