This is the first game of the World Series and there will be a lot of jitters in this game. Eovaldi has played well but the Diamondbacks can get to him and the Rangers bullpen. On the flip side, the Rangers bats have been powerful and like Philadelphia, they can score in bunches so they can get to a pitcher like Gallen who was great in regular season play but has looked shaky in the postseason. This game looks like the over is going to hit as the model projects over 8 runs. Also, Gallen's starts this season against the Rangers went over in three of his four starts. Texas is also 19-5 to the Over in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Arizona when playing in the 1st game of a playoff series are 3-0 to the Over this season. Eovaldi as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season is 3-1 to the Over.

The total has gone Over in 4 of Texas' last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona. The total has gone Over in 13 of Texas' last 18 games at home.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.