Inter Milan is coming into this match with a slight trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and their defense has been great in these. They have allowed 4 goals in their last 5 matches, but all 4 of those came in 1 heated match against Juventus. They have actually kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and their defense has been great recently. Their attack has struggled in some matches though as they have scored just 1 goal or less in 3 of their last 5 matches as well. They have seen some high scoring matches in Serie A, but they have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their 3 Champions League matches, not allowing a goal in any of those. They have a 4-0 win at home against a much weaker Crvena Zvezda side, but they also have a 0-0 away draw with Man City and a 1-0 away win over Young Boys. They are going up against an Arsenal side that has been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and their attack has been struggling in these. They have scored 1 goals or less in 3 of their last 5 matches, but their defense has only allowed 3 goals in their last 4 matches with 2 clean sheets as well. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches, and they have gone scoreless in 2 of their last 3 as well. They have also been more defensive in Champions League as all 3 of their matches have gone under 2.5 goals and they have not allowed a goal in any of those either. They have a 0-0 away draw with Atalanta as well as a 2-0 home win over PSG and a 1-0 home win over Shakhtar. Both of these sides are in good position right now and this will be one of the stronger opponents for both of these clubs in this league phase so the focus for both will be to not lose this match and that means a more defensive style from both of these clubs that has already been seen from each in these UCL matches. This is going to be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
UEFA Champions League: Inter Milan/Arsenal under 2.5 goals, Rot. 224202