Roma is coming into this match with a trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. Their attack has been awful in these matches as they have only scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches, but their defense has not been bad as they have allowed 1 goal or less in 4 of their last 5 matches. They are coming off of a 5-1 loss to Fiorentina away from home in their last match, but they will be trying to play much better on defense here at home after that disaster. When playing at home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches there and each of their last 2 home matches have only seen 1 goal total. They are going up against a Torino side that has not been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches, but they have also been in awful form in those as they have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. They are coming off of a win in their last match which broke the 4 match losing streak, and they were much better on defense with a 1-0 win at home over Como. They will be playing this away match with the same mindset as it worked in their last match to gain 3 points, and Roma does not have a very potent attack anyway so this is a match Torino can lean on their defense in. Roma will struggle to break down Torino as their attack has not been great recently, but Torino is not going to break down this Roma defense easily either. This is going to be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Roma/Torino under 2.5 goals, Rot. 201386