I'm on the Bills -10 @ home vs Pittsburgh in Primetime for these reasons:

- TJ Watt is inactive tonight. Huge blow to this entire defense who now gives more time in the pocket to a dangerously dualistic QB in Josh Allen.

- The Steelers are 1-10 without TJ Watt, giving up an average of 381 yards per game in that stretch without the big guy.

- Bills are 4th in Yards per game, Steelers are 21st in yards allowed per game and barely make the top 20 in both rushing yards allowed and passing yards allowed.

- Buffalo are 4th in sacking the QB and #1 in sacks allowed thanks to Josh Allens mobility. (Should be easier to avoid sacks without TJ Watt to worry about).

- Steelers defense has been better but they have played much worse teams with Mason Rudolph than this step up in competition on the road. Can't back this offense that only scores 17 points per game on average.

Official Play: Bills -10

Side Bet: James Cook Anytime TD

Side Bet: Bills over 2.5 Team Touchdowns

Hail Mary: Josh Allen Anytime TD