The Twins finally won a playoff game and then took the series. They were playing with confidence at home but now must go on the road and face an experienced Houston Astros team. Houston has been dealing with injuries to their bullpen but the addition of Verlander helped sure things up down the stretch. The Twins rely on the long ball but that also results in strikeouts. Verlander didn't give up a homer in his last three starts after surrendering seven in his first three outings of September. Minnesota only scored five total runs at home against Toronto. Minnesota had a 4-2 record head-to-head this season against Houston, but the Astros played much better in the second half of the season. The Astros have won eight of the last 12 overall against the Twins and Houston has won four of the last six played at home against Minnesota. I am taking Verlander and the playoff-experienced Astros in this one.

Play on Houston. This is a 3% play.