I have this game closer than the boys in Vegas. If you look at these two teams' stats on paper, you would have a hard time picking out which team was which. Cincinnati and Houston are almost identical on the stat sheet. You cols even make the argument that Houston's defense is better than Cincinnati's defense. Cincinnati is playing for a spot in the CFP so all the pressure is on them to win and win impressively. Houston isn't expected to win and by Vegas, they are not to even be in this game. I like Houston to keep this one within the number and possibly win it outright,

Play on Houston. This is a 10* play.