This is an 8* SPECIAL TOTAL on the UNDER Reds/Pirates.

After yesterday's high-scoring slug-fest in which the Reds won 8-2, we're expecting more of a DUEL here on Saturday.

The Reds have now won five of their last six and averaged 7.8 runs over that span. I say Cincinnati's offense comes back down to Earth here though finally.

Neither pitcher has been great, but each will be hungry to reverse those trends today. I like betting on motivated starting pitchers when taking an UNDER.

Luis Castillo (0-0, 5.79 ERA), makes his second start of the year. He went five innings and gave up three runs to the Brewers in his debut.

He'll be opposed by Zach Thompson (1-3, 7.08), who comes in off a great start, going five shutout innings and allowing just two hits vs. these very Reds.

All signs point to a lower-scoring UNDER here finally.

Good luck, NP